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Can National Data Sources Be Used to Generate State Estimates?

National surveys are useful in providing information on the number of people without insurance at a particular point, and their characteristics (age, sex, income, employment status). An annual series of such surveys, which utilize consistent methodology, can be useful in measuring changes in insurance status over time at the national level. Title XXI requires that States submit assessments of progress made in reducing the number of low-income uninsured children, for which States will need to establish a baseline estimate of the uninsured. Therefore, States will not only need annual aggregate data on the uninsured, but also data that can be differentiated by State.

The Medical Expenditure Expansion Survey (MEPSglobe.gif (1043 bytes)) has been highly acclaimed as a source of national data on the size, nature and characteristics of the uninsured, as cited in the previous section. It does not, however, provide State-specific data, nor is it conducted annually. Alternatively, the Current Population Survey (CPS) may be a reliable source of State-specific information on the uninsured population from year to year. The CPS is a nationwide monthly survey conducted by the Census Bureau to determine employment status. The March Supplement of the CPS includes questions on health insurance coverage which may be useful in helping States estimate and understand the uninsured population. The advantages and disadvantages of utilizing the CPS for this purpose are discussed in this section, as summarized from the September 1998 SCHIP presentation of James Verdier, Director of State Health Policy at Mathematica Policy Research.


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