Table 2. Targeted Screening for People with Hypertension Only, with Intensive Glycemic Control and Intensified Hypertension Control after Diagnosis
| Illustrative Case in the Model |
Age at Diagnosis, (y) |
Results per True Diabetes Case |
Results per Person Screened |
Cost/
QALY ($) |
| Lifetime Cumulative Incidence (%) |
Life-Yearsa |
QALYsb |
Lifetime Costs ($)a |
Life-Years Gaineda |
QALYs Gainedb |
| ESRD |
LEA |
Blind |
Stroke |
CHD |
Screen & Diagnostic Testing |
Diab. Treatment |
Diab. Intervention |
Diab. Complications |
Total |
| Screen at 35 y |
|
(onset at 30 y) |
| W/o screening |
40 |
25.30 |
40.18 |
12.32 |
13.08 |
21.86 |
33.27 |
19.73 |
0 |
1,012 |
920 |
2,619 |
4,551 |
|
|
|
| W/ screening |
35 |
24.68 |
40.27 |
12.41 |
13.24 |
21.51 |
33.45 |
19.81 |
25 |
1,174 |
1,149 |
2,569 |
4,917 |
|
|
|
| Screening effect |
|
-0.62 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.16 |
-0.35 |
0.18 |
0.08 |
25 |
162 |
229 |
-50 |
366 |
0.010 |
0.004 |
87,096 |
| Screen at 45 y |
|
(onset at 40 y) |
| W/o screening |
50 |
14.90 |
27.64 |
8.72 |
15.12 |
26.13 |
26.20 |
16.84 |
0 |
830 |
758 |
1,827 |
3,415 |
|
|
|
| W/ screening |
45 |
14.57 |
27.92 |
8.87 |
15.40 |
24.67 |
26.49 |
17.00 |
25 |
999 |
999 |
1,798 |
3,820 |
|
|
|
| Screening effect |
|
-0.33 |
0.28 |
0.15 |
0.28 |
-1.46 |
0.30 |
0.16 |
25 |
169 |
241 |
-29 |
405 |
0.016 |
0.008 |
46,881 |
| Screen at 55 y |
|
(onset at 50 y) |
| W/o screening |
60 |
6.50 |
15.10 |
5.15 |
15.38 |
29.93 |
18.90 |
13.23 |
0 |
941 |
858 |
1,884 |
3,682 |
|
|
|
| W/ screening |
55 |
6.39 |
15.40 |
5.29 |
15.76 |
27.40 |
19.24 |
13.44 |
25 |
1,187 |
1,221 |
1,859 |
4,292 |
|
|
|
| Screening effect |
|
-0.11 |
0.3 |
0.14 |
0.38 |
-2.53 |
0.35 |
0.22 |
25 |
246 |
363 |
-25 |
610 |
0.029 |
0.018 |
34,375 |
| Screen at 65 y |
|
(onset at 60 y) |
| W/o screening |
70 |
1.82 |
6.04 |
2.45 |
15.58 |
28.87 |
12.30 |
9.34 |
0 |
249 |
223 |
526 |
998 |
|
|
|
| W/ screening |
65 |
1.79 |
6.20 |
2.56 |
16.06 |
25.57 |
12.63 |
9.57 |
23 |
336 |
361 |
522 |
1,242 |
|
|
|
| Screening effect |
|
-0.03 |
0.16 |
0.11 |
0.48 |
-3.30 |
0.33 |
0.23 |
23 |
88 |
138 |
-4 |
245 |
0.011 |
0.008 |
31,228 |
| Screen at 75 y |
|
(onset at 70 y) |
| W/o screening |
80 |
0.23 |
1.69 |
0.84 |
14.97 |
24.42 |
7.28 |
5.93 |
0 |
162 |
136 |
422 |
720 |
|
|
|
| W/ screening |
75 |
0.22 |
1.72 |
0.88 |
15.40 |
21.09 |
7.51 |
6.11 |
21 |
238 |
270 |
423 |
952 |
|
|
|
| Screening effect |
|
-0.01 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.43 |
-3.33 |
0.23 |
0.18 |
21 |
76 |
134 |
1 |
231 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
32,106 |
a Undiscounted.
b Discounted at 3%.
Note: Screening effects are expressed as percentage points. CHD = Coronary heart disease events; Diab. = Diabetes; ESRD = End-stage renal disease; LEA = Lower-extremity amputation; QALY = Quality-adjusted life year.
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