Table 4. Probability of Adult Obesity (BMI >30) Based on Childhood BMI Percentile Measures at Various Ages
| Study ID |
Overweight Measure in Childhood, BMI percentile |
Child's Age When Measured |
Adult's Age when Measured |
Probability of Adult Overweight
(Male & Female combined)
|
Probability of Adult Overweight
(Males) |
Probability of Adult Overweight
(Females) |
Gortmaker, 199366 (n=10,039)
80% White, 14% Black, 6% Hispanic
51% Female |
> 95 |
16-24 |
23-31 |
- |
.77a |
.66a |
Freedman, 200157
(n=2617)
67% White, 32% Black, 57% Female
|
< 50 |
5-27 |
18-37 |
.07 |
- |
- |
Freedman, 200157
(as above)
|
85-94 |
5-27 |
18-37 |
.51 |
- |
- |
Freedman, 200157
(as above)
|
> 95 |
5-27 |
18-37 |
.77 |
- |
- |
Guo 200258 (n=347)
100% White, 52% female |
> 75 > 85 > 95 |
3 |
35 |
- - |
.1
.1
.2 |
.14
.17
.24 |
Guo 200258 (as above) |
> 75 > 85 > 95 |
8 |
35 |
- |
.1
.1
.2 |
.16
.23
.46 |
Guo 200258 (as above) |
> 75 > 85 > 95 |
13 |
35 |
- |
.2
.2
.5 |
.16
.27
.64 |
Guo 200258 (as above) |
> 75 > 85 > 95 |
18 |
35 |
- |
.2
.3
.8 |
.15
.26
.68 |
aIn this study adult overweight was defined as >95%ile on NHANES.
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