Using Simulation and Decision Modeling to Inform Decision Making (Text Version)

Slide Presentation from the AHRQ 2008 Annual Conference

On September 8, 2008, Ann Zauber, PhD; Shalini Kulasingam, PhD; and Diana Petitti,, MD, MPH, made this presentation at the 2008 Annual Conference. Select to access the PowerPoint® presentation (1.2 MB; Plugin Software Help).

Slide 1

Using Simulation and Decision Modeling to Inform Decision Making

AHRQ Annual Meeting
Sept. 8, 2008

Slide 2

This Morning's Session

• Can Clinical Trials really answer all relevant questions?
• What if the patient is older/younger/sicker/ better/etc. than in the trials?
• What if the technology has changed?
• What if management strategy has changed?
• Can simulation modeling help fill in the gaps?

Slide 3

• Many decision models in the literature:
  • Single use "one off" models
  • More global natural history models designed for wide range of questions
• Can decision models inform decisions?
  • Working with the decision makers to determine:
    • Relevant alternatives and inputs
    • Relevant outcomes
  • Case study today of working with the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) to examine Cancer Screening

Slide 4

Today's Agenda

• Diana Petitti, MD, MPH (briefly) Professor of Biomedical Informatics, Arizona State University
  Vice Chair, USPSTF
  Author of Meta-Analysis, Decision Analysis, and Cost-Effectiveness
  Analysis
• Ann Zauber, PhD
  Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, NY
  Coordinator of Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) Colorectal Cancer Modeling Groups
  
• Shalini Kulasingam, PhD
  University of Minnesota
  Investigator on the Duke Cervical Cancer Model
• Diana Petitti

Slide 5

• Zauber
• Kulasingam
• Petitti