Risk Informed Evaluation of Patient Safety Training (Text Version) Slide presentation from the AHRQ 2009 conference. On September 15, 2009, Anthony Slonim made this presentation at the 2009 Annual Conference. Select to access the PowerPoint® presentation (1,309 KB) (Plugin Software Help).Slide 1 Risk Informed Evaluationof Patient Safety TrainingAnthony D. Slonim, MD, DrPHVice President Medical AffairsCarilion Medical CenterSenior Staff, Departments of Medicine and PediatricsCarilion ClinicProfessor, Medicine and PediatricsVirginia Tech-Carilion School of MedicineSlide 2 ObjectivesDecision-making science How do we normally make decisions?Picking up on Level 4.Can we train to improve our decision making results?Slide 3 Decision Making Science Slide 4 Bayes TheoremP (A/B) =P(B/A) * P(A) P(B)Slide 5 Pattern RecognitionSquare patterned image divided into four. Each segment is an alternating color of pink and green.How many squares do you see?Jumping to conclusions too quickly.Is there flashing in the squares?Your mind will play tricks on you! Slide 6 Decision-MakingMedical Decision-Making ProcessPerception/Data gathering (training-H and P, Labs, Rads) "Amber light" is showingInterpretation (training-pattern recognition and probability) "Amber light" means prepare to stop, maybeDecision making (based on probability + experience) Stop or goAction taking (reflex/"gut level response"/programming) Hit the brake or acceleratorMarx D and Slonim AD: Assessing patient safety risk before the injury occurs: An Introduction to Socio-Technical Probabilistic Risk Assessment. Quality and Safety in Healthcare 2003; 12 Suppl 2: 33-38.Slide 7 Medical Decision-MakingPerception/Data GatheringImage depicting a treatment process with Triage Nurse in the center of a square, with ED Nurse outside the Triage Nurse. Finally Physician is on the outside of the ED Nurse.Actions:Make a Dx and TreatGet Help: Cardiology ConsultationDo more testing-which test? (Pre-test probabilities)Slide 8 Medical Decision-MakingSame image as above but with word written on top of it:What are the results? Did we get it right? Slide 9 Expert Decision Making:Practice, Practice, PracticeExpert - pattern matching against large mental library, quick, accurate if confirm correct answerNovice - library is empty - slow, error prone processCertain Diagnoses are Favored- Frequent, Recent, SeriousHeuristics - fixating on the wrong pattern Slide 10 Pattern RecognitionPicture of a triangle and 3 red circles at each point.Slide 11 Picking up on Level 4:Can we train for results? Slide 12 Kirkpatrick's LevelsLevel I Reactions How well trainees liked trainingLevel II Learning The extent to which trainees understand and retain principles, facts, and techniquesLevel III Behavior The extent to which behavior changes as a result of trainingLevel IV Results Impact of training on organizational criteria Slide 13 Elements of Quality ProgramsFlow chart of Quality FunctionsProgram Identifcation and PrioritizationData AnalyticsProcess ImprovementsChange ManagementImproved OutcomesQuality FunctionsResearchEducation / Training Slide 14 Why is there a safety problem?Considerable variation in practice Based on opinion or consensusEvidence-based guidelines-unsupportedFailure to create fail-safe processesOur providers may not know their work Policies and proceduresWe're learning to work togetherWe're not sure of the results we're looking for Slide 15 Process AnalysisProcesses: A series of sequential steps governing interactions Between patients and providersBetween providers and providersExamples of process analysis techniques: Root cause analysis-retrospectiveHAACP (hazard analysis and crit control points)FMEA (failure mode effects)PI methodology Slide 16 Low-frequency, High Impact EventsLow frequency, high-impact events Variable processes and practices Wrong site surgeryThe abduction of children from hospitalsDeaths or major harmProcess analysis helps to identify risk and prioritize interventionsDecision support helps to guide decision making Slide 17 Probabilistic Risk AssessmentA hybrid between process analysis and decision supportIdentifies risk points and directs to interventionsIs hierarchical and probabilistic Allows disentanglement of patient level risks, provider level risks, and system level risksAssigns probabilities for prioritization of risk reduction strategiesIncludes sociotechnical components into the models Slide 18 Conceptual FrameworkProbabilistic Risk Assessment identifing Qualitative methodsThe InstitutionThe ProvidersThe PatientSlide 19 The Prospective Risk ModelDiagram showing the top three risks. Slide 20 Training EvaluationDefinition The systematic collection of descriptive and judgmental information necessary to make decisions related to instructional activitiesEnsures training Meets its stated objectivesChanges trainee attitudesIncreases trainee knowledgeDevelops trainee skillsTransfers results to the job Slide 21 Training EvaluationImportant variables to consider: Organizational FactorsIndividual FactorsTrainee Knowledge, Skills, and AttitudesTraining TransferOrganizational Outcomes Slide 22 Merging Kirkpatrick and ST PRASocio-Technical Probabilistic Risk Assessment Good for examining low base rate events (Six Sigma)Models contributing causes Procedural tasksTeam tasksIdentifies the impact of an intervention Evidence baseEmpirically basedAdjust and test the model Monte CarloChanges in the likelihood of outcomes Slide 23 Traditional ApproachesQuick Wins"Fire-fighting"Burn-out / FatigueDifficult-to-Sustain, Short-Term Results Slide 24 Quality Fusion ApproachGraph demonstrating fusion results of impact over time. Slide 25 Example Slide 26 What is Escalation?Failure to rescue associated with Interpretation problemsThroughput problemsPut another way.When you do not realize the patient is in trouble OR you know the patient is in trouble, but you don't respond as needed. Slide 27 Common CourseIdeally, we track the illness. As the patient gets worse (line goes up), we respond. As the patient improves we adjust. Slide 28 Going Off CourseThe defect rate in our modelis caused by failures to properly trackthe course of the illness. Slide 29 Never On CourseSometimes, we're off course right from the beginning and it's difficult to get back on course.Image of a red and blue line with an arrow in between them to signify being off course.Slide 30 The Prospective Risk ModelThe Top Three Risks Slide 31 ConclusionsA focus on results helps providers and patientsTraining on risk points can improve performance Leads to better resultsRequires alterations in decision makingEnhances empiric data for better understanding training Current as of December 2009 Internet Citation: Risk Informed Evaluation of Patient Safety Training (Text Version). December 2009. Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Rockville, MD. http://www.ahrq.gov/news/events/conference/2009/slonim/index.html