The Impact of Minimum Wage Increases on the Provision of Employer-Spon Slide Presentation from the AHRQ 2011 Annual ConferenceSlide presentation from the AHRQ 2011 conference. The Impact of Minimum Wage Increases on Provision of Employer-Sponsored InsuranceSlide Presentation from the AHRQ 2011 Annual ConferenceOn September 19, 2011, Jessica Vistnes made this presentation at the 2011 Annual Conference. Select to access the PowerPoint® presentation (190 KB). Plugin Software Help.Slide 1The Impact of Minimum Wage Increases on the Provision of Employer-Sponsored InsuranceJessica Vistnes(co-author: Kosali Simon, Indiana University)Slide 2BackgroundLarge changes in federal and state minimum wages from 2000-2008.Most studies of minimum wages have focused on employment effects: However, it is also important to understand how fringe benefits react: Particularly if unintended consequences.There is a small literature on the effect of minimum wages on health insurance: All studies use data from Current Population Survey.Therefore, no data on workforce characteristics: Important information because of group nature of employers' health insurance decisions.Slide 3Minimum Wage Activity 2000-2008Federal minimum wage changes: 2007 to 2009 in steps from $5.15-$7.25.First change in federal minimum wage in a decade (Fair Minimum Wage Act 2007).State activity high 2000-2008: 129 instances of states changing minimum wages over this time period: Average change: 51.6 cents.Range: 10 cents to $1.80.Slide 4Offer RatesYearFirm SizeOffer RateEligibility Rate2000All88.97%78.98%<1046.58%83.77%10-2471.51%78.57%25-9988.40%75.11%100-99996.84%77.93%1000+99.38%80.00%2008All87.10%***78.22%<1043.66%***83.25%10-2468.79%*78.56%25-9983.68%***74.91%100-99995.84%76.38%1000+98.94%79.23%Slide 5Offers of Dependent CoverageYearFirm SizeOffer Family CoverageOffer Any Dependent Coverage2000All98.82%***98.95%***<1088.05%***89.43%***10-2496.82%***97.11%***25-9998.62%***98.80%*100-99999.93%***99.94%***1000+99.97%99.97%2008All97.21%98.09%<1076.55%82.57%10-2489.38%93.25%25-9996.75%97.95%100-99999.38%99.60%1000+99.94%99.99%Slide 6Prior Literature on Minimum Wages and Health InsuranceRoyalty (2000, working paper).Simon and Kaestner (2004).Marks (2011).Slide 7Data2000-2008 MEPS-Insurance Component, private sector establishments: 235,000 establishments, 230,000 plans.Advantages: Many dependent variables.Contains wage distribution within the establishment: % of workers with low wage, middle and high-wages: Cutoff in 2008 is <$11, $11-25.50, >$25.50.Disadvantage: Limited ability to examine whether plans differ by wage level.Slide 8Dependent VariablesEstablishment-level outcomes: Establishment offers health insurance.Eligibility rate, subset to establishments who offer.Offers family coverage.Offers any dependent coverage (either employee-plus-one or family coverage).Slide 9Dependent Variables (continued)Plan-level outcomes: Annual total employee contributions for single and family coverage (in dollars and in shares of total premiums).Single deductible levels.Actuarial value.Single premium/actuarial value.Plan is an health maintenance organization (HMO.Plan is a preferred provider organization (PPO).Slide 10Other Explanatory VariablesFirm size.Industry.Age of business.Ownership type.Non-profit status.Whether the establishment is located in an MSA.The proportion female, age 50 and older, union members.State fixed effects, Year fixed effects.County unemployment rate.Slide 11Hypothesis and MethodMinimum wage effects will be larger at establishments with a higher concentration of low-wage workers.We test our hypothesis by: Comparing establishments with different levels of low-wage workers to those with no low-wage workers (Difference-in-Difference).Identification comes from state increases above federal minimum wage levels.Slide 12Wage CategoriesWage categories defined as: ALL_LOW (100% of workers are low-wage).MOSTLY_LOW (≥50% of workers are low-wage).SOME_LOW (>0 and <50% of workers).NO_LOW (no workers are low-wage).Slide 13ModelΥi= α+β1 * Xi,st +β2 * ALL_LOWi,st +β3 * MOSTLY_LOWi,st +β4 * SOME_LOWi,st +β5 * MINWAGEi,st +Γ1 * ALL_LOWi,st * MINWAGEst +Γ2 * MOSTLY_LOWi,st * MINWAGEst +Γ3* SOME_LOWi,st * MINWAGEst + εiSlide 14OLS Models of Establishment-Level Health Insurance Outcomes OfferProportion EligibleOffered Family CoverageOffered Any Dependent CoverageAll_Low* Minwage-0.016***0.000-0.047***-0.038**Most_Low* Minwage-0.019***-0.0050.0030.006Some_Low* Minwage-0.006-0.0020.009*0.012***Minwage0.0040.002-0.013**-0.018***R-squared0.380.230.150.11Slide 15Selected OLS Results for Plan-Level Outcomes Single Employee ContributionEmployee Share of Single PremiumFamily Employee ContributionEmployee Share of Family PremiumSingle DeductibleAll_Low* Minwage4.941-0.001134.9040.015-48.371Most_Low* Minwage-1.596-0.008**29.6360.000-10.497Some_Low* Minwage25.106*0.00210.251-0.002-6.546Minwage-27.640*-0.00212.8460.005-45.324***R-squared0.060.090.140.120.14Slide 16Selected OLS Results for Plan Level Outcomes (continued) Plan Actuarial ValueTotal Premium/ Actuarial ValueHMOPPOAll_Low* Minwage0.005-194.816*0.0180.007Most_Low*Minwage0.003*-40.0910.0040.002Some_Low*Minwage-0.001-11.828-0.0040.003Minwage0.003***-37.2690-0.008R-squared0.110.180.050.08Slide 17Sensitivity ChecksDoes Medicaid/CHIP policy confound results? Our results generally unchanged by inclusion of Medicaid/CHIP simulated eligibility variable.Slide 18ConclusionsMinimum wage increases led to: Decreases in offer rates among entirely and majority low-wage employers.Among those who offered: Reductions in offers of family coverage and any dependent coverage: For entirely low-wage employers.No change in eligibility rates.No change or inconsistent change for plan level outcomes.Slide 19Next StepsNew outcomes: Other fringe benefits.Take-up rate (corresponds to CPS question).Whether employee premium contributions are positive or zero.Alternative ways to measure minimum wage: % increase rather than absolute increase.% of the real median wage in the state, from the CPS.Within specific industries.Current as of December 2011Internet Citation:The Impact of Minimum Wage Increases on Provision of Employer-Sponsored Insurance. Slide Presentation from the AHRQ 2011 Annual Conference (Text Version). December 2011. Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Rockville, MD. http://www.ahrq.gov/about/annualconf11/vistnes/vistnes.htm Current as of March 2012 Internet Citation: The Impact of Minimum Wage Increases on the Provision of Employer-Spon: Slide Presentation from the AHRQ 2011 Annual Conference. March 2012. Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Rockville, MD. http://www.ahrq.gov/news/events/conference/2011/vistnes/index.html