Estimating the ROI for Computerized Clinical Decision Support Systems: Pieces of the Puzzle
On September 19, 2011, Terry Field made this presentation at the 2011 Annual Conference. Select to access the PowerPoint® presentation (660 KB). Plugin Software Help.
Slide 1
Estimating the Return On Investment (ROI) for Computerized Clinical Decision Support Systems (CDSS): Pieces of the Puzzle
Terry Field, S.Dc.
Meyers Primary Care Institute
University of Massachusetts Medical School,
Fallon Community Health Plan, Fallon Clinic
Slide 2
Pieces of the Puzzle Adding CDSS to Existing Electronic Health Record (EHR)
- Development and implementation costs.
- Immediate, direct costs and savings.
- Potential additional savings.
Slide 3
Development Cost Example 1
- Long-term care setting.
- CDSS to provide prescribers with patient-specific maximum dosing recommendations based on renal function.
- Added to a commercial EHR with integrated Computerized physician order entry (CPOE) (Meditech).
- Included 62 drugs; 94 alerts specific to the level of renal insufficiency.
Slide 4
Tracking Personnel Time & Costs
- Internal: physicians, pharmacists, informatics project manager, project coordinator, health services researcher weekly reports from each participant with hours by category.
- External : specialized programmer tracked through bills submitted.
Slide 5
Cost Analysis
- Reported hours combined with U.S. national average hourly wages for the appropriate personnel categories.
- Submitted bills from external programmer.
Slide 6
Results—Personnel Time & Costs
| Category | Hours | Cost ($) | % of total time |
|---|---|---|---|
| Physicians | 414 | 25,902 | 45 |
| Pharmacist—MS | 120 | 5,307 | 13 |
| Pharmacist—BS | 60 | 1,814 | 6 |
| Informatics Project Manager | 122 | 4,987 | 13 |
| Project Coordinator | 80 | 1,315 | 9 |
| Researcher | 18 | 529 | 2 |
| Programmer | 110 | 8,813 | 12 |
| Total | 924 | 48,668 |
Slide 7
Results—Activities & Costs
| Activity | Hours | Cost ($) | % of total cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Determining contents | 482 | 27,455 | 56 |
| Preparing blueprints for programmer | 51 | 1,869 | 4 |
| Programming | 110 | 8,813 | 18 |
| Testing and implementing | 79 | 3,322 | 7 |
| Informatics project management | 122 | 4,987 | 10 |
| Project coordination | 80 | 2,220 | 5 |
| Total | 924 | 48,668 |
Slide 8
Alternative Scenarios
- CPOE system does not require specialized programmer.
Hours: 924, Cost: $43,268. - Database for renal dosing exists.
Hours: 657, Cost: $34,201. - CDSS Product exists.
Hours: 475, Cost: $23,695.
Slide 9
Development Cost Example 2
- Ambulatory setting—large group practice.
- Automated alert system to provide PCPs with:
- Notification of hospital and SNF discharges.
- New drugs added during hospital stay.
- Recommendations related to dosing and monitoring.
- Reminders to support staff to schedule follow-up visit.
- Added to a commercial EHR with CPOE (EpicCare Ambulatory EMR).
Slide 10
Results—Personnel Time & Costs
| Category | Hours | Cost ($) | % of total time |
|---|---|---|---|
| Physicians | 614 | 55,340 | 47 |
| Operations research analyst | 370 | 12,561 | 28 |
| Research assistant | 202 | 3,885 | 16 |
| Registered nurse | 58 | 1,873 | 4 |
| Computer software engineer | 40 | 1,692 | 3 |
| Database administrator | 17 | 597 | 1 |
| Pharmacist | 7 | 367 | 1 |
| Total | 1,308 | 76,314 |
Slide 11
Results—Activities & Costs
| Activity | Hours | Cost ($) | % of total cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Determining content | 169 | 14,977 | 20 |
| Designing and preparing HIT application | 330 | 15,847 | 20 |
| Developing blueprints for programming | 325 | 14,917 | 20 |
| Programming | 273 | 17,406 | 23 |
| Testing/revising | 164 | 8,954 | 11 |
| Project management | 22 | 1983 | 3 |
| Maintaining | 26 | 2,231 | 3 |
Slide 12
Special Issues in Development Costs
- Substantial time required from clinical personnel!
- Determining contents (or reviewing if purchased).
- Extensive time spent testing.
Slide 13
Potential Costs & Savings Immediate, Direct Impact
- Long-term care setting.
- Within an randomized controlled trial (RCT) of the renal dosing CDSS described earlier.
- Randomized by unit within a large long-term care facility.
- Costs and savings related to drugs and laboratory tests.
Slide 14
Tracking Costs & Savings
- Drugs that triggered an alert as prescriber began the order vs. drugs actually ordered.
- All drug orders for the day of an alert reviewed to identify potential substitutes.
- Drug costs based on U.S. wholesale price at the time.
- Serum creatinine tests ordered within 24 hrs of alert of missing lab information—costs based on Medicare allowable payments at the time of the order.
Slide 15
Analysis
- Within both intervention and control units, we compared costs for initial vs. final submitted drug orders.
- Adjusted findings from the intervention units by findings in the control units.
Note: Even in the control units, prescribers changed their minds during an order!
Slide 16
Results
- Estimated savings for drug orders: $2,160.
- Estimated additional costs for lab orders: $769.
- Total estimated savings: $1,391.
Slide 17
Potential Additional Savings: Reduced ADEs
- Setting: large, multispecialty group practice providing care to >30,000 Medicare enrollees.
- Case-control study nested in a cohort study that identified adverse drug events from 7/1/1999 to 6/30/2000.
- Control group—for each subject with an event, we randomly selected a control matched by having an encounter and dispensing in the month prior to the event.
Slide 18
Determination of Costs
- Outcome measure: costs of medical care from 6 weeks prior to the event through 6 weeks after.
- In-patient stays, emergency department (ED) visits—national average of cost-to-charge ratios.
- MD visits, dx tests, therapy, lab, ambulance use, home health, DME—Medicare fee schedules.
- Pharmaceuticals—average wholesale cost on day dispensed.
Slide 19
Analysis
- Average total costs for cases and controls calculated and plotted.
- Estimated surge in costs calculated by subtracting pre-event costs from post-event costs for each individual.
- MVA with cost surge as outcome and case status as exposure, controlling for confounders.
- Analyzed for 1225 case/control pairs and 325 pairs for preventable adverse drug events (ADEs).
Slide 20
Results
Image: A graph shows total costs in 2-week periods before and after the ADE. Costs are considerably higher 1-2 days after the ADE.
Slide 21
Results
| Component of cost | Increase in costs after preventable ADE* (95% confidence interval) |
|---|---|
| Total | 1983 (193, 3773) |
| In-patient stays | 1222 (-320, 2763) |
| ED visits | 111 (17, 205) |
| Out-patient care | 571 (227, 915) |
| Prescribed meds | 79 (24, 134) |
*Controlling for age, gender, Charlson comorbidity index, # scheduled meds, hospitalization in pre-period.
Slide 22
Extrapolation
- 1,000 enrollees age 65+ for 1 year 13.8 preventable ADEs $27,365 (CI $2,663, $52,067) in 2000 dollars.
- All Medicare enrollees age 65+ in 2000 $887 million for preventable adverse drug events.
Slide 23
Summary
- Development costs are significant.
- Development (or even implementation) requires extensive time from clinicians.
- Immediate, direct cost savings may be minor.
- Savings from reductions in adverse events are likely to be substantial.
- Complete, detailed tracking of adverse events and their associated costs is a large and expensive task!
